CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2015-09-04T19:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2015-09-04T19:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9262/-1
CME Note: filament eruption
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-09-08T01:28Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-09-10T02:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 40.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:
Met Office ENLIL settings. ENLIL version: 2.7 Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform) Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1 WSA version: 2.2 Please specify following CME input parameters. Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2015-09-05T08:45Z Radial velocity (km/s): 265 Longitude (deg): E029 Latitude (deg): S38 Half-angular width (deg): 58 Notes: Low confidence in half-angle due to obscuring from other non-earth directed CME. This could give a glancing blow or miss to the south. Space weather advisor:Lead Time: 41.82 hour(s)
Difference: -48.53 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2015-09-06T07:39Z
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